dual investment when target price < ref. spot price

im trying to understand the math if i use dual investment when target price < ref. spot price. For example,

"Deposit BUSD Buy Low"

- amount subscribed: $100 BUSD

- subscription date: 2022-01-01

- settlement & distribution dates: 2022-01-07

- BTC Ref Spot Price $30k

- BTC Target Price: $29.5k

APY 50%

So, what happens if the final settlement price is > $29.5k or final settlement price is < $29.5k?

Is there risks of losing my money aside from its locked?