Is Bitcoin "LIKELY" To Have A Big Upside, Downside, Or Remain Flat On 10-10-2026? My Cousin Claimed It Would Go Up

Bitcoin is now trading at the high 82's. My cousin told me that because Bitcoin had a flash crash on 10-10-2025 (going down from 122k to 105k), he predicted that because tomorrow is the 1 year anniversary of the flash crash (which he cited as the end of the bull market last year even though there is more to it because Trump announced 100% tariffs on China last year, so hence the crypto market crashed), Bitcoin may do the opposite and instead, be parabolic, rising like 15-20% or something to 100k, but who knows how reliable his predictions were. My cousin (31M) stated that Bitcoin would go up between 1-5 June 2026 and I should long. Turned out, BTC went down and because I shorted, I earned a lot of money. He also predicted that on 14 May 2026, Bitcoin would crash from 79 to 76k only for it to bounce up to 82k. Most absurdly, he told me late on 19 August 2026 to short Ethereum at 2250 and set the limit to 2100 (ETH only went down as far as 2225 and after 22 August, ETH never touched below 2375 and went above 2700 on some days). He shorted Bitcoin on late 19 August 2026 when Bitcoin is at 69k and is still holding it unhedged, hoping for a drawdown despite the fact since 22 August 2026, Bitcoin never went below 75k on any day and has touched 87k. My cousin told me he is a genius investor and financial advisor but I have seen his account dip from 250,000 USD in 2017 (he put tens of thousands of personal loans into Robinhood and he only uses Robinhood and will not switch to another platform) to 50k in 2026, with him owing over half a million in student and personal loans after having dropped out of pharmacy school 2 weeks before finishing his final course in Summer of 2019 (6 years in, having finished x out of x+1 courses, aka 1 course remaining).