What your take on this cycles bottom for btc/eth?

I was eyeballing mid 50s on btc for the retracement and $1400ish for eth. I've been in the space for 10 years plus and even though there's institutional money now I still see the cycle following roughly the same timeline. I think currently the geo political climate is propping up the price of cryptos across the board a bit but if/when everything settles down with Iran and the BS domestically we will see a huge drop in price. I'm currently holding short positions on both and am up a few money but not as much as I expected. Still a form believer in the cycle but not sure where it will bottom out. What are your thoughts?