If you compare this bull run to the previous ones, it might feel a bit different, but I think it's still fitting.
For comparison I searched for the previous Bull run halving dates, peaking duration and absolute peak (all time high).
(H) = Halving
(D) = Duration (of peaking)
(P) = Peak
1st Bull Run:
- (H) Nov. 28, 2012
- (D) end of Nov 2013 - Jan 2014 (1,5 months)
- (P) 5th Dec 2013 (€1145)
2nd Bull Run:
- (H) - July 9, 2016
- (D) - Nov 2017 - Feb 2018 (3 months)
- (P) - 16th Dec 2017 (€16350)
3rd Bull Run:
- (H)May 11, 2020
- (D) Dec 2020 - Jun 2022 (17 months)
- (P) 13th Nov 2021 (€56275)
Current Bull Run:
- (H) April 19, 2024
- (D) Oct 2023 (maybe) - ???? (15months so far)
- (P) ????
Notice the trend? Each cycle is extending in length, reflecting a maturing asset class with broader adoption, institutional & global involvement and increasing market liquidity. This also aligns with the idea that Crypto is becoming less volatile over time.
I think we’re still in the early-to-mid phase of this cycle.
If my theory is correct, this bull run could last until late 2025 and a new ATH is still approaching.
I think the past sprint cycles are turning more and more into a marathon and patience will be key in this current bull run, to make the "most" profit.
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